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March 10, 2011

NFL Mock Draft v1.0: We will mock you

    OK, so we're seven weeks out from the draft. Might as well have some fun, while we wait to see whether the guys in suits are interested in football being played this year.

    (And frankly, as much as I'd rather be standing on the corner of 21st and K with the assembled sidewalk scribes, I know labor reports are more interesting to reporters than fans.)

    So what say we mock? We'll do one each Thursday for the next few weeks, showing some possibilities for the teams at the top. It'll change, as teams will shuffle their boards as they look at guys. Consider it a guidebook rather than a map, a suggestion, if you will.

    Or in other words, it'll change, so no hyperventilating:

    1. Carolina:  QB Cam Newton, Auburn

0310camnewton

    There's a lot of talk about him at the moment for a reason.

    No one's sure if he's going to be good or not. But look around. There are questions about every quarterback in this draft, and he's got more physical gifts than any of them.

    Is it a risky pick? It is. 

    Can it go horribly wrong? It can.

    But here's the thing with Newton, you almost have to convince yourself he's not the guy first, because top-end QBs are rare. He has the chance to be one if he works, and the chance alone may make it a gamble worth taking. 


    2. Denver: DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama

0310marcelldareus

    They did hire John Fox, right?

    The Broncos are changing from a 3-4 to a 4-3, and we know how Fox likes to build defenses -- from the front to back. 

    It didn't take a long look for him to start cutting dead weight, and you figure he drafts linemen in bulk to try to run his system. 

    Dareus is the consensus top DT pick based on his strength and versatility. Fox drafted a DE first in 2002, but there's no Julius Peppers in this draft.


    3. Buffalo: QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri

0310blainegabbert

    He has all the tangibles. As one scout said recently: "He's 6-5, 235, good arm, quick release, ... Those guys go in the first round."

    But can he play? The offense he ran in college doesn't translate to the NFL, and his 6.7 yards per attempt scares me.

    The Bills need a quarterback, and he's the next guy up. Not saying I think it will work ...


    4. Cincinnati: WR A.J. Green, Georgia

0310ajgreen
    If for no other reason, then it gives them an excuse to move on from the headaches and headcases Marvin Lewis has been coaching.

    A big target with sure hands, he's capable of making a quick mpact if they have a quarterback.


    5. Arizona: LB Von Miller, Texas A&M

0310vonmiller

    They're in kind of the same situation as the Panthers. As bad as their QB situation was, they have some needs on the other side of the ball just as glaring.

    They'll look long and hard at the passers, but may be better off with a pass-rushing OLB who could make some plays.


    6. Cleveland:  CB Patrick Peterson, LSU

0310patrickpeterson

    There's a decent chance he's in play for the No. 1 pick, and him falling this far makes it easy.

    Could they use a pass-rusher? Sure. But Peterson's a better corner than the ends are at their position.


    7. San Fran: DE Da'Quan Bowers, Clemson

0310daquanbowers

    Sometimes if you sit and wait, the guy you need falls into your lap. Pass-rushers are rare. There seems to be a sense that Bowers isn't in the Peppers-Williams class of no-doubt stars. As much as any player in the draft, he's a bit of a one-year wonder. But that year was very good.


    8. Tennessee:   DT Nick Fairley, Auburn

0310nickfairley

    He moves like a rush end, but may not be built for his job.

    He's kind of narrow in the pants, and isn't what you'd describe as defined. At the same time, his production is hard to question. 

    Put him in the right system, and he can provide inside rush as well as anyone


    9. Dallas:  CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska

0310princeamukamara

    Peterson's gotten all the talk, but some think he's every bit the cover player. Not as athletic as Peterson, but it's not as if people want to make him a safety.


    10. Washington: QB Ryan Mallett, Arkansas

0310ryanmallett

    The Redskins are sniffing around all the QBs, and with Donovan McNabb a short-timer, you know Mike Shanahan is itching to do something here.

    Mallett may have a little Jay Cutler in him (arm, attitude), so it's a fit.

-- Darin Gantt

Posted by Observer Sports on March 10, 2011 at 12:52 PM | Permalink

Comments

crickets.

Posted by: Frieda's Boss | Mar 10, 2011 2:17:37 PM

I was initially in the anti-newton camp but after watching him two things stand out. His physical presence is enormous and he knows how to win especially from coming behind. I think he is the least risk of all the QBs. He offers two dimensions with his running ability as well. Mallet and Locker were drearily unimpressive during the season when it counts. Blaine Gabbert would be much to risky and unproven for one.

I sure wish we had a second round pick.

Posted by: tylerkad | Mar 10, 2011 2:28:50 PM

Patrick Peterson please! He covers two needs, who else does that??

Posted by: DNYCE | Mar 10, 2011 2:37:27 PM

They should trade to get into the 2nd round. Steve Smith? Maybe?

Posted by: panthersfan | Mar 10, 2011 2:42:47 PM

yes like the mock cam newton #1 i just think what chudzinski can do with the talent of cam. im not the only one jon beason think he was going to be a good player what that say about cam. some dont like cam cause what some media people put out there. you cant listen to them what i fond out today by an scout that i was talking to.was very surprising. i ask him did some agent pay some people in the media to hype up their clients. he said agents dont pay them. Agents give info to writers/ reporters inexchange for the writer/ reporters saying good things about their clients. so all this hype on gabbert dont believe it mel kiper call him the best QB in this year draft.he did the same thing about clausen last year come to find out he was friends with the agent and the agent told him to inflate the rating of his clients

Posted by: t rex | Mar 10, 2011 2:49:12 PM

Panthers please take Cam Newton because if you don't Mike Brown will subject us lowly Bengals fans to continued years of misery. We'll have the misery regardless, but it least it won't be with Mr. Entertainment.

Posted by: Bob Dace from Cincinnati | Mar 10, 2011 2:49:35 PM

Newton - No too many red flags.
Peterson- Browns already picked up Haden last year, they aren't going back to back CBs.
Bowers - His knee injury is going to drop his stock like a rock.
Mallet - Is barely clutching onto second round let alone top of first. His drug issues, his Eminem personality is not going to fly with teams.

Posted by: Nate | Mar 10, 2011 2:57:37 PM

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Posted by: SkinsFanAgain | Mar 10, 2011 3:14:15 PM

LOL. who choses the pictures?

Posted by: matt | Mar 10, 2011 3:16:15 PM

Newton best choice. I can see another Freeman. Put fans in the seats, sell merchandise, if a bust will have more value than Clausen.

Posted by: par404 | Mar 10, 2011 3:27:29 PM

I have seen your mock draft 1.0 it sucks why in the hell you want cam newton he is a dum ass. His feet needs work you are looking at 2 years, and he will be a flap. Panthers need to draft CB Patrick Peterson, LSU. Pick up a QB on the wire. Panthers need a offince line they dont have one.Whats wrong with Jimmy Clanse?

Posted by: joseph holbert | Mar 10, 2011 3:28:21 PM

Par404, what on earth are you thinking? Josh Freeman is never going to be a dominant QB. Ever. And if we were picking in the late teens, I'd draft the hail out of Cameron Newton. But we aren't. We're drafting #1. This guy is a first-round talent, but he's not a Top-10 pick. He's not an NFL QB.

If he's a bust, you're right he'll have more value. He'll have value soaking up our salary cap space for 5 years.

If the Panthers don't draft Blaine Gabbert when it's all said and done, I'll eat my hat. (Assuming they don't get Carson Palmer, somehow.) Gabbert is smart. He's accurate. And he's a leader. A football guy. He's Aaron Rodgers. Give me that all day over Cam Diva-pants Newton.

Posted by: SkinsFanAgain | Mar 10, 2011 3:44:03 PM

*Edit to above post: He's not an ELITE NFL QB.

Posted by: SkinsFanAgain | Mar 10, 2011 3:45:17 PM

The Panthers should work a deal for Carson Palmer, including swapping first rounders with the Bengals (giving the Panthers the 4th Pick) and see if we can offer them something else to get their 2nd rounder out of it. Try to stock pile draft picks for next year, that way we can make a move to acquire Andrew Luck because we will NOT have the 1st pick next year!

Then with Palmer, Panthers have a QB to rely on for a few years and they can draft either Marcel Dareus or Patrick Peterson with the 4th, assuming one of them is still around. And of course, assuming a new CBA is place by then since you can not trade any players until a new one is signed.

Posted by: Rick | Mar 10, 2011 3:47:45 PM

Yep the same ppl who want Cam N will be the same ones throwing him under ths bus as well "give up" on him after 1yr.

I wonder what happends if they again end up with the #1 pick in 2012 and Luck was to come out. Would the Cam supporters jump on the Luck bandwagon to again wanting another Qb 4 in the past 3yrs instead of givng a player a 2nd chance to improve? I could see it happening.

No Qb would have success playing for a lame duck coach, who wasn't going to return. Lack of creativity on offense. A sub-par Oline, having to run for your life. TEnds barley being used in the passing game. Who could have had success under those circumstances? We don't even know if the new coaching can actually develop a Qb.

Oh well lets get keep drating Qb's until they get it right for the next 5yrs. Without not being given a 2nd chance to improve. Cam N is a 2-3yr project, but for some reason fans want him #1 overall. Well will he be a day 1 starter? I doubt unless you rush him into the line up. I take my chances on a player who is a day 1 starters will contribute rightaway.

Posted by: oh wow | Mar 10, 2011 3:49:13 PM

Draft thug Cam and senile Jerry can move the team for all I care.

To Cincy:

Steve Smith (crybaby, send him packing now)
#1 pick

From Cincy:

Carson Palmer
#4 pick overall
2nd round pick

Posted by: Phil | Mar 10, 2011 3:54:04 PM

@Rick

Great post besides the part of surrendering a ton of next yrs draft picks to get Luck. He will likely be a top 3 pick, not worth it. But I would take my chances on Landry J though.

"If the Panthers don't draft Blaine Gabbert when it's all said and done, I'll eat my hat. (Assuming they don't get Carson Palmer, somehow.) Gabbert is smart. He's accurate. And he's a leader. A football guy. He's Aaron Rodgers. Give me that all day over Cam Diva-pants Newton."

Blaine G is being hype up just like Clausen was last yr. Funny how Luck stayed in school helped Gabbert draft stock to rise though. While he is smart, he is inaccurate on deep throws. Has horrible footwork along pocket presence. He's no way near a A Rodgers, none of them are #1 worthy.

Drafting another unproven/overhype Qb will not help without a veteran to mentor him.

Posted by: oh wow | Mar 10, 2011 3:56:09 PM

Swap 1st and 3rd round picks with the Bengals, get CP along with it to help mentor Clausen and Pike. At #4 draft Aj G or PP.

Posted by: j johnson | Mar 10, 2011 3:59:04 PM

Where's the rest of the first round? And Mallett isn't going #10. http://bit.ly/NFLMockDraft3

Posted by: lech112 | Mar 10, 2011 3:59:37 PM

I'm glad you are a skins fan again. Now go comment on the skins. I am really starting to think Newton is worth the gamble. The money is going to be drastically different for rookies. Apparently the new rookie wage scale will only allow a guy to sign for a maximum of 4 years for a 1st round pick. After the 1st round a player can only sign for a max of 3 years. The guaranteed money is also going to be drastically different. Think $20 Million guaranteed for 4 years for our #1 pick. That is drastically different from the 7 year $50 Million guaranteed. That makes this pick a lot more valuable than it has been in the past. Most teams didn't want the #1 pick because of money. If this new wage scale rumor turns out to be true it really helps out the value of our pick. It also gives you the flexibility to gamble a little on Newton. Give me the kid that scored 51 TDs last year. We scored 16 TDs as a team in 2010. How much worse can it get? Newton has star potential. That is worth a shot.

Posted by: Smiley | Mar 10, 2011 4:01:16 PM

Smiley, you're absolutely right. With a new CBA on the horizon (with a rookie wage scale) guys like Newton will be considerably less risky. Here's an article on how the rookie wage scale could/will impact the draft --> http://bit.ly/NEWCBA

Posted by: lech112 | Mar 10, 2011 4:09:41 PM

I'm starting to think Cam is worth it as well. And hey if he can't pass the ball, he sure can run the ball.

Posted by: panthersfan | Mar 10, 2011 4:16:22 PM

Don't want Newton but at this point..what's the point in arguing..it's going to happen and it's best to just hope the guy doesn't bust...even though I think he will

Peterson is the best player in the draft and won't fall outside of the top 5 and Ryan Mallet won't go in the first round

Posted by: K | Mar 10, 2011 4:16:48 PM

If I hear one more person say Gabbert I'll go crazy. I bet 95% of the people in the state of Carolina have never seen him play. I live in Texas and watch Big 12 football. He sucks!! How he is a top pick is beyond me. Peterson or Newton should be your top choices.

Posted by: Scoe | Mar 10, 2011 4:35:43 PM

Just like retarded Panther fans to want Carson Palmer instead of drafting Newton. I don't see what the risk(s) are with Newton, if they picked him he would be the best QB on the roster right now, so what's the problem? Do you really want Clausen as the QB of this team?

Posted by: D.W.G. | Mar 10, 2011 4:41:12 PM

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